The race to defuse Congo’s carbon bomb
The parishioner approached the pastor after morning prayer to tell him she’d had a dream the night before—a premonition, really—that a White man would walk into their remote village soon and change their lives forever.
The arrival of professor Simon Lewis and his colleagues in Ikenge just months later would indeed upend this calm idyll tucked away in one of the world’s remaining rainforests.
The village—home to a few dozen families living in earthen houses ringed by fields of cassava—is exceptionally secluded. Reaching it requires journeying for at least a day in dugout canoes up charcoal-black tributaries, often while torrential thunderstorms crisscross overhead. Ikenge’s residents are familiar with the world beyond the forest, though they seldom interact with it.
So when Lewis and his colleagues began talking in giddy, hushed tones about carbon and a substance called “tourbière” in French, Pastor Timothée Bombala sensed the premonition was coming true.
“They kept saying, ‘This is the biggest and deepest we have ever seen.’ They were very excited,” Bombala recalled of that momentous day in 2019. “They took many pieces of it with them.”
Beyond 1.5: Seeing the future: What do success and failure look like?
Visualizing our future is critical to motivating wise choices today. In this endeavor, speculative fiction is a powerful complement to scientific projections. The final event in the series explores success and failure through the eyes of creatives and invites audiences to activate their own imaginations.
Watch the video recording.
The climate threats facing fashion’s favourite natural fibres
Among a host of challenges facing the fashion industry in light of climate change, the sourcing of natural fibres is likely to become more difficult. Diversifying supply chains is only a temporary solution.
For the past few years, New York fashion brand Another Tomorrow has sourced its wool from two farms in Nile, a rural town in Tasmania, Australia. However, one of the farmers has struggled through a series of droughts that dried up forage for his sheep, threatening the supply of wool.
When an unusual amount of rainfall then hit the region this year and forage was plentiful, the farmer thought he was finally getting a break. In August, after shearing the sheep, he sent the wool for testing. The verdict was disastrous: The heavy rainfall had transformed the quality of the wool, making it unsuitable for Another Tomorrow’s fabrics, which required a thicker quality. “The technical quality of the wool changed so dramatically that we couldn’t use it,” says Vanessa Barboni Hallik, CEO of Another Tomorrow. “We had to seek out a new supply.”
Read the full article on Vogue Business
US forests hold climate keys
The UN climate summit in Glasgow ended with more words than actions as global emissions are the second-highest on record and the world is on track for an increase of another 16 percent by 2030.
Alarmingly, global deforestation is occurring at a rate of 27 football fields every minute of each day. Recognizing this loss, President Biden pledged that the United States will “help the world halt natural forest loss and restore at least an additional 494 million acres by the year 2030.”
As it stands, the Biden administration’s climate plans say nothing about ending forest losses right here at home by protecting climate-saving older forests and trees on federal lands. It’s a glaring omission that needs to be fixed.
Read the full article on The Hill.
Climate Risk Assessment: Belém, Pará, Brazil
Introduction
The impacts of climate change on frequency and severity of physical hazards will put many communities at risk.
As the threat of climate change grows, so too does the need for accessible information, tools, and expertise to support climate resilient decision-making for municipalities. In the newly released report Recognizing Risk—Raising Climate Ambition,
Woodwell highlights the need to localize and customize climate risk assessments. However, the private sector is meeting the majority of the need for climate data and analyses, reducing access for communities without sufficient financial resources. To address this gap, Woodwell works with communities across the world, including Belém, Pará, in Brazil, to provide granular climate services, free of charge.
Results
Figure 1: Change in Temperature Annual Range
This figure shows future changes in the difference between the highest maximum temperature and the lowest minimum temperature within a year relative to 1970-2000. Higher values indicate that the difference (how much temperatures “spread” within a year) will increase over time. We can see that the hot months of the year will get hotter and cold months colder.
Figure 2: Change in Precipitation of Wettest Month
This figure shows future changes in the precipitation of the wettest month of a year relative to 1970-2000. Higher values indicate that that the wettest month will become wetter over time. Notice that the ensemble of models project a reduction of precipitation until 2060-2080 (first three maps), and after that, an abrupt increase (last facet).
Figure 3: Change in Precipitation of Driest Month
This figure shows future changes in the precipitation of the driest month of a year relative to 1970-2000. Higher values indicate that the driest month will become drier over time.
Figure 4: Change in Length of Fire Season in Pará
This figure shows future changes in the length of the fire season in the state of Pará relative to 1970-2000. Higher values indicate an increase (in days) of such length, and thus, more risk of wildfires. This figure highlights Belém’s exposure to worsening air quality over time.
Figure 5: Wet-Bulb Temperature
This figure shows historical and future frequency of days/year over 28 °C of wet-bulb temperatures. Wet-bulb temperature is a “feels-like” temperature indicator (strictly speaking, it is defined as the air temperature at 100% relative humidity). A wet-bulb temperature of 28 °C is considered dangerous for humans; continued exposure to it can lead to severe heat stress.
Quick talk with Dr. Rachel Treharne of the Woodwell Climate Research Center
Permafrost in the polar regions has been storing carbon for millennia. As the planet warms, permafrost thaw threatens to unleash that carbon back into the atmosphere, launching a potentially devastating feedback cycle that could accelerate warming even more. Yet that risk is not included in current global carbon budget accounting. I spoke with permafrost expert Rachael Treharne, from the U.S.-based Woodwell Climate Research Center, about what is at stake.
For full interview, read the Times newsletter.
Addressing climate risk with the COP26 Presidency
The 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference UK Presidency and Woodwell Climate convened a series of climate risk workshops with 13 countries. The findings demonstrate the global need for targeted, standardized assessments that translate the severe risks and hazardous impacts of climate change on people’s daily lives.
COP26 will turn its focus to science and innovation
Transforming scientific action into adaptation strategies is crucial for climate resilience
One of COP26’s official themes on Tuesday, along with gender, is “science and innovation.” While a dauntingly broad theme in the context of climate change, the goal at the summit is straightforward: turn information into action. Scientists and negotiators will convene to discuss how to translate a wealth of climate science into climate resilient strategies for decision-makers and their communities.
Read the full article on Washington Post.